Likely Tonight

A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.

Showing Last 3 years ×All artists × 338 songs · 246 setlisted shows in scope
Timeframe
All timeLast 3 yearsLast 12 monthsSince latest album
Artist
All artists WilcoJeff TweedyTweedy
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Song Album Likely % Shows Last 10 Last 20 Last played
Secret Door Twilight Override0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20May 29, 2026
She's My Rock [Sharon K Dobbins]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Sep 27, 2023
Someday Some Morning Sometime Mermaid Avenue, Vol. 20.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20May 31, 2024
Spanish Bombs [The Clash]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Feb 12, 2026
Starman [David Bowie]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Strangers [Kinks]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Streets of Baltimore [Tompall Glaser/Harlan Howard]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Mar 11, 2026
Sunloathe The Whole Love0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jun 28, 2024
Tell Me Something Good [Rufus]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Nov 1, 2025
Tell Your Friends 0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jun 28, 2024
Ten Dead Cousin0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Sep 28, 2023
Tennessee Waltz [Redd Stewart]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Oct 29, 2025
The Good Part Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-20140.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jun 28, 2024
The Joke Explained Star Wars0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Dec 5, 2023
The Lark in the Morning [Traditional]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Mar 17, 2026
The Long Cut Anodyne0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Mar 22, 2026
The Ruling Class 0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2026
The Thanks I Get Sky Blue Sky Tour EP0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Apr 18, 2025
The Wind Cries Mary [Jimi Hendrix]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Apr 2, 2026
This Time Tomorrow [The Kinks]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Feb 21, 2026
To Call My Own Weird Tales0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Tomorrow Never Knows [The Beatles]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 15, 2026
Tonight I'll Be Staying Here With You [Bob Dylan]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Sep 27, 2023
Two Lips, Two Lungs and One Tongue [Nomeansno]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Apr 5, 2026
Until You Came Along Weird Tales0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Up on the Sun [Meat Puppets]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Mar 16, 2026
V Down By The Old Mainstream0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Victoria [The Kinks]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Apr 5, 2026
Walking The Cow [Daniel Johnston]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Nov 12, 2025
War Pigs [Black Sabbath]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jul 24, 2025
Wedding Cake Twilight Override0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2026
Where Is My Mind? [Pixies]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Apr 7, 2026
Willin' [Little Feat]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Mar 17, 2026
Wish I Had Not Said That [J.J. Cale]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Nov 9, 2025
Won't Be Coming Home Down By The Old Mainstream0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Yesterday Cried Down By The Old Mainstream0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
You Don't Love Me Yet [Roky Erickson]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Nov 11, 2025
You're No Good [Clint Ballard Jr.]Cover0.1%0.4%0 / 100 / 20Mar 17, 2026

How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.

Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.