Likely Tonight

A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.

Showing All time ×All artists × 665 songs · 1,957 setlisted shows in scope

Timeframe

All time Last 3 years Last 12 months Since latest album

Artist

All artists Wilco Jeff Tweedy Tweedy

More filters

Song	Album	Likely	% Shows	Last 10	Last 20	Last played
Rock Salt And Nails [Utah Phillips]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 14, 2000
Sally Free And Easy [Cyril Tawney]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 14, 2000
Save My Ass		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 14, 2000
Secret Door	Twilight Override	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 29, 2026
Should I Stay Or Should I Go? [The Clash]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 31, 1998
Six Months In A Leaky Boat [Split Enz]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 29, 2005
Smoke on the Water [Deep Purple]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 23, 2000
Spanish Bombs [The Clash]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 12, 2026
Special Day		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 11, 1999
St. Stephen [Grateful Dead]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 4, 2013
Stardog's Lament		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 29, 2005
Starman [David Bowie]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
Streets of Baltimore [Tompall Glaser/Harlan Howard]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 11, 2026
Sunday Bloody Sunday [U2]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 4, 1997
Surrender [Cheap Trick]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 21, 2013
Suzanne [Leonard Cohen]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 15, 2013
Take This Hammer [Leadbelly]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 21, 2004
Tell Me Something Good [Rufus]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 1, 2025
Tell Your Friends		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 28, 2024
Ten Dead	Cousin	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 28, 2023
Tennessee Waltz [Redd Stewart]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 29, 2025
That Year	No Depression	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 18, 1997
That's How I Got to Memphis [Tom T Hall]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 9, 2022
The Boys Are Back in Town [Thin Lizzy]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 21, 2013
The Calvary Cross [Richard Thompson]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 11, 2013
The Empty Condor	Cruel Country	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 27, 2022
The Lark in the Morning [Traditional]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 17, 2026
The Lonesome Wind That Blows		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2000
The Old Country Waltz [Neil Young]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 18, 2020
The Shape I'm In [The Band]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 30, 1997
The TB Is Whippin' Me [Ernest Tubb]	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 29, 1994
The Wind Cries Mary [Jimi Hendrix]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 2, 2026
The Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald [Gordon Lightfoot]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 9, 2013
These Boots Are Made for Walkin' [Nancy Sinatra]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 3, 2013
This Time Tomorrow [The Kinks]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 21, 2026
To Call My Own	Weird Tales	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
Tom Courtenay [Yo La Tengo]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 21, 2013
Tonight's the Day	Cruel Country	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 27, 2022
Too Far Gone [Neil Young]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 29, 1994
Twilight Distillery		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 29, 2003
Two Lips, Two Lungs and One Tongue [Nomeansno]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 5, 2026
Until You Came Along	Weird Tales	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
Up on the Sun [Meat Puppets]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 16, 2026
V	Down By The Old Mainstream	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
Victoria [The Kinks]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 5, 2026
Walking The Cow [Daniel Johnston]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 12, 2025
War Pigs [Black Sabbath]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 24, 2025
Wasn't Born To Follow [The Byrds]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 6, 2015
Waterloo [ABBA]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 21, 2013
We Have Laid Here		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 17, 2003
Wedding Cake	Twilight Override	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
Wellspring	The Green Hour	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 17, 2003
When I Paint My Masterpiece [Bob Dylan]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 4, 2013
When I'm Gone		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 8, 1995
Where Is My Mind? [Pixies]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 7, 2026
Wild Mountain Thyme [Traditional]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 27, 2022
Willin' [Little Feat]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 17, 2026
Wish I Had Not Said That [J.J. Cale]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 9, 2025
Won't Be Coming Home	Down By The Old Mainstream	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
Yellow Submarine [The Beatles]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 29, 2005
Yesterday Cried	Down By The Old Mainstream	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
You Don't Love Me Yet [Roky Erickson]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 11, 2025
You Don't Mean It		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 17, 2003
You're No Good [Clint Ballard Jr.]	Cover	0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 17, 2026
You're Really Gone		0.0%	0.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 16, 2003

How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.

Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.