Likely Tonight

A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.

Showing All time ×Jeff Tweedy × 452 songs · 302 setlisted shows in scope
Timeframe
All timeLast 3 yearsLast 12 monthsSince latest album
Artist
All artists WilcoJeff TweedyTweedy
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Song Album Likely % Shows Last 10 Last 20 Last played
Poor Places Yankee Hotel Foxtrot0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Mar 22, 2019
Random Name Generator Star Wars0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Mar 23, 2019
Reflections On A Crystal Wind [Richard & Mimi Farina]Cover0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Sep 12, 2000
Say I Love You Again 0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Jan 6, 2023
Shouldn't Be Ashamed A.M.0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Jan 28, 2006
Sick Server Warmer0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Apr 10, 2019
Ten Sentences Warmer0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Jul 17, 2021
Wait for Love Sukierae0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Feb 25, 2022
What's The World Got In Store Being There0.2%1.0%0 / 100 / 20Jan 28, 2006
...And Then You Cut It in Half Warmer0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jan 20, 2020
A Fool Such As I [Trader (Elvis Presley)]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Oct 19, 1999
Bright Phoebus [Lal and Mike Waterson]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jan 7, 2019
Cinnamon Girl [Neil Young]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 3, 2019
Cosmic Dancer [T. Rex]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jun 30, 2024
Don't Let Me Down [Beatles]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Sep 30, 2021
Don't You Honey Me Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-20140.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20May 15, 2015
fragment of Elizabeth Cotten song 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Aug 18, 2006
From Far Away Warm0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Mar 22, 2019
God [John Lennon]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Dec 12, 2013
Having a Hard Time 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jan 6, 2023
I'm Beginning To See The Light [Don George, Johnny Hodges, Duke Ellington and Harry James]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
I'm Kind of in Love with You 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20May 31, 2024
Immigrant Song [Led Zeppelin]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jan 30, 2007
Ingrid Bergman Mermaid Avenue0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Nov 15, 1998
Just a Friend [Biz Markie]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jul 19, 2021
Just Say Goodbye Schmilco0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20May 31, 2024
Kicking Television A Ghost Is Born0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 18, 2025
Love & Mercy [Brian Wilson]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Feb 13, 2009
Marquee Moon [Television]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 16, 2019
Mine Forever 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Oct 19, 2024
Nobody Dies Anymore Sukierae0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20May 13, 2016
Now and Then 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Oct 29, 2024
Old Maid Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-20140.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jan 9, 2003
Only The Lord Knows [Mavis Staples]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jun 16, 2017
Out for a Walk 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 15, 2024
Pittsburgh Cousin0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20May 31, 2024
Sad Kind of Way Cruel Country0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jun 28, 2023
Side With The Seeds Sky Blue Sky0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2026
The Good Part Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-20140.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 6, 2007
This Ain't No Lounge Ax 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Sep 13, 2000
Too Real Twilight Override0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jan 8, 2026
Venus Stopped the Train 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Oct 18, 2024
Walk On [Neil Young]Cover0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
Walk Where He Walked Down By The Old Mainstream0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
We Aren't the World (Safety Girl) Schmilco0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Apr 22, 2017
You're Not Gonna Win 0.1%0.7%0 / 100 / 20Jun 30, 2024
A Beard Of Stars [T. Rex]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2000
All The Young Dudes [David Bowie/Mott The Hoople]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Anarchy In The UK [Sex Pistols]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Androgynous [The Replacements]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 6, 2025
Black Moon The Whole Love0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 25, 2023
Ça Plane Pour Moi [Plastic Bertrand]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 17, 2026
Camera More Like The Moon EP0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 15, 2015
Childlike and Evergreen Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-20140.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 15, 2015
Children of the Revolution [T. Rex]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 21, 2026
Close My Eyes [Arthur Russell]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Oct 1, 2021
Cold Hard World [Daniel Johnston]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 12, 2025
Cousin Cousin0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 31, 2024
Darkness Is Cheap Cruel Country0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 1, 2022
Deeper Down Wilco (the album)0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jul 8, 2011
Desert Bell Sukierae0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jul 17, 2021
Dirty Old Town [Pogues]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Do Re Mi [Woody Guthrie]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 9, 2025
Empty Head Warmer0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 20, 2020
Ever Fallen In Love [The Buzzcocks]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 18, 1997
Fat Bottomed Girls [Queen]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 11, 2026
Fatal Wound March 16-20, 19920.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
Froggie Went A Courtin' 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 12, 1998
Funk #49 [James Gang]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 8, 2025
God Save The Queen [Sex Pistols]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 11, 2025
Goodnight Irene [Leadbelly]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Dec 21, 2004
Happiness Schmilco0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 25, 2023
Happy Birthday 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 8, 2006
Hazel Sukierae0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 16, 2017
Hey Chicken 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
Hey Hey What Can I Do [Led Zeppelin]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 14, 2014
High on a Rocky Ledge [Moondog]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 8, 2025
Houses [Elyse Weinberg]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Dec 4, 2023
I Got Nightmares [Q65]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 18, 2026
I Got You [Split Enz]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
I Shall Be Released [Bob Dylan]Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-20140.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 5, 2005
I Threw It All Away [Bob Dylan]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Oct 21, 1999
I Want to See the Bright Lights Tonight [Richard and Linda Thompson]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 20, 2026
I Wish I Was Your Mother [Ian Hunter (Mott the Hoople)]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 26, 1998
In The Street [Big Star]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 15, 2019
Jacob's Ladder 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 28, 2009
King of Carrot Flowers, Pt. 1 [Neutral Milk Hotel]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Kingsport Town [Bob Dylan]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2000
Kiss [Prince]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 6, 2025
Let's Find Each Other Tonight [José Feliciano]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2016
London Calling [The Clash]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 21, 2026
Lookin' For A Love [Neil Young]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2000
Love Is Everywhere (Beware) Ode to Joy0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 25, 2023
Magnet [NRBQ]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Oct 30, 2025
Me and Jane Doe [Charlotte Gainsbourg]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 14, 2026
Mendocino [Doug Sham]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Mexico [Sammy Tweedy]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 16, 2026
Mi Sheibarach [Debbie Friedman]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Sep 18, 2020
Midnight Special 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 28, 2009
Military Madness [Graham Nash]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Dec 29, 2017

How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.

Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.