Likely Tonight
A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.
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| Song | Album | Likely | % Shows | Last 10 | Last 20 | Last played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Let's Not Get Carried Away | Sky Blue Sky Tour EP | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Little Hands [Alexander "Skip" Spence] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| London Calling [The Clash] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Looking Forward To Seeing You | Weird Tales | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Loser [Beck] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Lost Love | Weird Tales | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Lotta Love [Neil Young] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Louie, Louie [Richard Berry] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Love and Not Love | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 | |
| Magnet [NRBQ] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Many Worlds | Cruel Country | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Me and Jane Doe [Charlotte Gainsbourg] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Mexico [Sammy Tweedy] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Ne Me Quitte Pas [Jacques Brel] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Needles in a Camel's Eye [Brian Eno] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Nothing'severgonnastandinmyway(again) | Summerteeth | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Our Lips Are Sealed [The Go-Go's] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Pick Up The Change | A.M. | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Pittsburgh | Cousin | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Plateau [Meat Puppets] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Please Be Patient With Me | Sky Blue Sky | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Portland Water [Michael Hurley] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Queen [Perfume Genius] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Raise a Little Hell [Trooper] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Red-Eyed And Blue | Being There | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Revolution Blues [Neil Young] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| She's A Jar | Summerteeth | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | May 6, 2026 |
| Some Birds | Warm | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Someday Soon | Being There | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Someone Else's Song | Being There | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Spanish Bombs [The Clash] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Starman [David Bowie] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Strangers [Kinks] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Streets of Baltimore [Tompall Glaser/Harlan Howard] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Tell Me Something Good [Rufus] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Tennessee Waltz [Redd Stewart] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| The Lark in the Morning [Traditional] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| The Long Cut | Anodyne | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| The Ruling Class | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 4, 2026 | |
| The Wind Cries Mary [Jimi Hendrix] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| This Time Tomorrow [The Kinks] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| To Call My Own | Weird Tales | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Tomorrow Never Knows [The Beatles] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Too Far Apart | A.M. | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Two Lips, Two Lungs and One Tongue [Nomeansno] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Until You Came Along | Weird Tales | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Up on the Sun [Meat Puppets] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| V | Down By The Old Mainstream | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Victoria [The Kinks] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Walking The Cow [Daniel Johnston] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| War Pigs [Black Sabbath] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Wedding Cake | Twilight Override | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Where Is My Mind? [Pixies] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Willin' [Little Feat] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Wish I Had Not Said That [J.J. Cale] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Won't Be Coming Home | Down By The Old Mainstream | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Yesterday Cried | Down By The Old Mainstream | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| You Don't Love Me Yet [Roky Erickson] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| You're No Good [Clint Ballard Jr.] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 17, 2026 |
How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.
Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.