Likely Tonight

A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.

Showing Last 12 months ×Jeff Tweedy × 167 songs · 49 setlisted shows in scope

Timeframe

All time Last 3 years Last 12 months Since latest album

Artist

All artists Wilco Jeff Tweedy Tweedy

More filters

Song	Album	Likely	% Shows	Last 10	Last 20	Last played
The Lark in the Morning [Traditional]	Cover	2.2%	2.0%	0 / 10	1 / 20	Mar 17, 2026
The Long Cut	Anodyne	2.2%	2.0%	0 / 10	1 / 20	Mar 22, 2026
Up on the Sun [Meat Puppets]	Cover	2.2%	2.0%	0 / 10	1 / 20	Mar 16, 2026
Willin' [Little Feat]	Cover	2.2%	2.0%	0 / 10	1 / 20	Mar 17, 2026
You're No Good [Clint Ballard Jr.]	Cover	2.2%	2.0%	0 / 10	1 / 20	Mar 17, 2026
Ain't It a Shame	Twilight Override	2.0%	10%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2026
Evergreen	Warmer	2.0%	10%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
I Am Trying To Break Your Heart	Yankee Hotel Foxtrot	2.0%	10%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
A Lifetime to Find	Cruel Country	1.6%	8.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 7, 2026
A Robin or a Wren	Love Is the King	1.6%	8.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 7, 2026
Guess Again	Love Is the King	1.6%	8.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 11, 2026
Impossible Germany	Sky Blue Sky	1.6%	8.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
New Madrid	Anodyne	1.6%	8.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
Please Tell My Brother	Weird Tales	1.6%	8.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
Country Song Upside-Down	Cruel Country	1.2%	6.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
Story to Tell	Cruel Country	1.2%	6.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
Dreamer In My Dreams	Being There	0.8%	4.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 7, 2026
Helpless [Neil Young]	Cover	0.8%	4.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 10, 2025
I Am My Mother	Cruel Country	0.8%	4.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 7, 2026
I Know What It's Like	Warm	0.8%	4.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 25, 2025
Jesus, Etc.	Yankee Hotel Foxtrot	0.8%	4.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 7, 2026
Save It for Me	Love Is the King	0.8%	4.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 7, 2026
Too Real	Twilight Override	0.8%	4.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
You And I	Wilco (the album)	0.8%	4.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2026
Ambulance	Cruel Country	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2026
Androgynous [The Replacements]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 6, 2025
Ça Plane Pour Moi [Plastic Bertrand]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 17, 2026
Children of the Revolution [T. Rex]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 21, 2026
Cold Hard World [Daniel Johnston]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 12, 2025
Dawned On Me	The Whole Love	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
Do Re Mi [Woody Guthrie]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 9, 2025
Either Way	Sky Blue Sky	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 24, 2025
Everlasting Everything	Wilco (the album)	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 7, 2026
Evicted	Cousin	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
Far, Far Away	Being There	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 1, 2025
Fat Bottomed Girls [Queen]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 11, 2026
Funk #49 [James Gang]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 8, 2025
God Save The Queen [Sex Pistols]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 11, 2025
High on a Rocky Ledge [Moondog]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 8, 2025
I Got Nightmares [Q65]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 18, 2026
I Want to See the Bright Lights Tonight [Richard and Linda Thompson]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 20, 2026
Kiss [Prince]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 6, 2025
London Calling [The Clash]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 21, 2026
Magnet [NRBQ]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 30, 2025
Me and Jane Doe [Charlotte Gainsbourg]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 14, 2026
Mexico [Sammy Tweedy]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 16, 2026
Ne Me Quitte Pas [Jacques Brel]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 14, 2026
Needles in a Camel's Eye [Brian Eno]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 20, 2026
One By One	Mermaid Avenue	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
One Sunday Morning (Song For Jane Smiley's Boyfriend)	The Whole Love	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 7, 2026
Passenger Side	A.M.	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2026
Pecan Pie	Down By The Old Mainstream	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2026
Please Be Patient With Me	Sky Blue Sky	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2026
Radio King	Down By The Old Mainstream	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
Side With The Seeds	Sky Blue Sky	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
Sky Blue Sky	Sky Blue Sky	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
Some Birds	Warm	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
Spanish Bombs [The Clash]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 12, 2026
Tell Me Something Good [Rufus]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 1, 2025
Tennessee Waltz [Redd Stewart]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 29, 2025
The Ruling Class		0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
This Time Tomorrow [The Kinks]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 21, 2026
Walking The Cow [Daniel Johnston]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 12, 2025
War Pigs [Black Sabbath]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 24, 2025
Wedding Cake	Twilight Override	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
Wish I Had Not Said That [J.J. Cale]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 9, 2025
You Don't Love Me Yet [Roky Erickson]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 11, 2025

How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.

Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.