Likely Tonight
A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.
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| Song | Album | Likely | % Shows | Last 10 | Last 20 | Last played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kicking Television | A Ghost Is Born | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| King of You | Star Wars | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Let's Not Get Carried Away | Sky Blue Sky Tour EP | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Many Worlds | Cruel Country | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| New Madrid | Anodyne | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Nothing'severgonnastandinmyway(again) | Summerteeth | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Passenger Side | A.M. | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Pick Up The Change | A.M. | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Pittsburgh | Cousin | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Red-Eyed And Blue | Being There | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Sky Blue Sky | Sky Blue Sky | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Someday Soon | Being There | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Someone Else's Song | Being There | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Tomorrow Never Knows [The Beatles] | Cover | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Too Far Apart | A.M. | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.
Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.