Likely Tonight
A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.
More filters
| Song | Album | Likely | % Shows | Last 10 | Last 20 | Last played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Family Ghost | Warmer | 80% | 31% | 9 / 10 | 19 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Lou Reed Was My Babysitter | Twilight Override | 78% | 22% | 9 / 10 | 19 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Enough | Twilight Override | 77% | 18% | 9 / 10 | 19 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Feel Free | Twilight Override | 77% | 17% | 9 / 10 | 19 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Forever Never Ends | Twilight Override | 76% | 14% | 9 / 10 | 19 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| This Is How It Ends | Twilight Override | 76% | 13% | 9 / 10 | 19 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Love Is the King | Love Is the King | 76% | 11% | 9 / 10 | 19 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Low Key | Sukierae | 71% | 18% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Flowering | Sukierae | 71% | 15% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| World Away | Sukierae | 70% | 14% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Caught Up in the Past | Twilight Override | 70% | 14% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| One Tiny Flower | Twilight Override | 70% | 13% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Mirror | Twilight Override | 70% | 13% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| New Orleans | Twilight Override | 70% | 13% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Cry Baby Cry | Twilight Override | 70% | 12% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Diamond Light Pt. 1 | Sukierae | 70% | 12% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Out in the Dark | Twilight Override | 70% | 12% | 8 / 10 | 18 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Gwendolyn | Love Is the King | 66% | 23% | 7 / 10 | 17 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Stray Cats in Spain | Twilight Override | 64% | 13% | 7 / 10 | 17 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| No One's Moving On | Twilight Override | 63% | 11% | 7 / 10 | 17 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Don't Forget | Warm | 59% | 26% | 8 / 10 | 10 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| KC Rain (No Wonder) | Twilight Override | 57% | 15% | 7 / 10 | 13 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Love Is for Love | Twilight Override | 39% | 5.0% | 5 / 10 | 9 / 20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Having Been Is No Way to Be | Warm | 26% | 29% | 1 / 10 | 9 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| I'm The Man Who Loves You | Yankee Hotel Foxtrot | 18% | 59% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| A Shot In The Arm | Summerteeth | 14% | 41% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Parking Lot | Twilight Override | 14% | 4.6% | 1 / 10 | 5 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Western Clear Skies | Twilight Override | 14% | 3.6% | 1 / 10 | 5 / 20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Remember The Mountain Bed | Mermaid Avenue, Vol. 2 | 14% | 37% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Acuff-Rose | Anodyne | 14% | 37% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Heavy Metal Drummer | Yankee Hotel Foxtrot | 13% | 32% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| I'm Always In Love | Summerteeth | 11% | 24% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Airline To Heaven | Mermaid Avenue, Vol. 2 | 11% | 23% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Sign of Life | Twilight Override | 10% | 3.3% | 1 / 10 | 3 / 20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| I Am Trying To Break Your Heart | Yankee Hotel Foxtrot | 10% | 51% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| California Stars | Mermaid Avenue | 9.9% | 41% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Laminated Cat | Loose Fur | 9.8% | 18% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Spiders (Kidsmoke) | A Ghost Is Born | 9.5% | 16% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| New Madrid | Anodyne | 9.2% | 46% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| You Are Not Alone | 9.0% | 14% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 | |
| Muzzle Of Bees | A Ghost Is Born | 8.9% | 13% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| War On War | Yankee Hotel Foxtrot | 8.8% | 13% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Kamera | Yankee Hotel Foxtrot | 8.2% | 9.6% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Passenger Side | A.M. | 8.0% | 40% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Casino Queen | A.M. | 7.9% | 8.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| I Can't Keep From Talking | Weird Tales | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Half-Asleep | Love Is the King | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Jesus, Etc. | Yankee Hotel Foxtrot | 7.2% | 36% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Betrayed | Twilight Override | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Handshake Drugs | A Ghost Is Born | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| A Magazine Called Sunset | More Like The Moon EP | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Just A Kid | The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Kingpin | Being There | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Country Disappeared | Wilco (the album) | 6.6% | 2.0% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Friendship [Pops Staples] | Cover | 6.6% | 2.0% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Sunlight Ends | Cousin | 6.6% | 2.0% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Better Song | Twilight Override | 6.4% | 1.0% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Throwaway Lines | Twilight Override | 6.4% | 1.0% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Annihilation | Hot Sun Cool Shroud | 6.4% | 0.7% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Capitol City | The Whole Love | 6.4% | 0.7% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Over My Head (Everything Goes) | Twilight Override | 6.4% | 0.7% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Saddest Eyes | Twilight Override | 6.4% | 0.7% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ain't No Sunshine [Bill Withers] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Are You Here for the Festival [Michael Hurley] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Comment (If All Men Are Truly Brothers) [Charles Wright and the Watts 103rd St. Rhythm Band] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Everyone Hides | Ode to Joy | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Farewell Transmission [Songs: Ohia (Jason Molina)] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Ffunny Ffrends [Unknown Mortal Orchestra] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Hot Stuff [Donna Summer] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| In Bloom [Nirvana] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Judy Just Left | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 | |
| Kerosene [Big Black] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kiss an Angel Good Mornin' [Charley Pride] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Lotta Love [Neil Young] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Love and Not Love | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 | |
| Monday | Being There | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Portland Water [Michael Hurley] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Raise a Little Hell [Trooper] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Secret Door | Twilight Override | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Sonny Feeling | Wilco (the album) | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Take Me Home, Country Roads [John Denver] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| The Wind Cries Mary [Jimi Hendrix] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Two Lips, Two Lungs and One Tongue [Nomeansno] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Victoria [The Kinks] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Where Is My Mind? [Pixies] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| You Ain't Goin' Nowhere [Bob Dylan] | Cover | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| You Satellite | Star Wars | 6.3% | 0.3% | 1 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Via Chicago | Summerteeth | 5.8% | 29% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Hummingbird | A Ghost Is Born | 5.6% | 28% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Please Tell My Brother | Weird Tales | 5.2% | 26% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Sunken Treasure | Being There | 5.1% | 25% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| The Ruling Class | 4.8% | 24% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 4, 2026 | |
| Bob Dylan's 49th Beard | More Like The Moon EP | 4.8% | 24% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jun 24, 2023 |
| Let's Go Rain | Warm | 4.2% | 21% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| She's A Jar | Summerteeth | 4.1% | 21% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 15, 2024 |
| Misunderstood | Being There | 4.0% | 20% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | May 31, 2024 |
| Evergreen | Warmer | 3.9% | 20% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Some Birds | Warm | 3.9% | 20% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bombs Above | Warm | 3.6% | 18% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jun 25, 2023 |
| How To Fight Loneliness | Summerteeth | 3.5% | 18% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Oct 30, 2024 |
How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.
Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.