Likely Tonight

A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.

Showing All time ×Jeff Tweedy × 452 songs · 302 setlisted shows in scope
Timeframe
All timeLast 3 yearsLast 12 monthsSince latest album
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All artists WilcoJeff TweedyTweedy
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Song Album Likely % Shows Last 10 Last 20 Last played
A Beard Of Stars [T. Rex]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2000
All The Young Dudes [David Bowie/Mott The Hoople]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Anarchy In The UK [Sex Pistols]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Androgynous [The Replacements]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 6, 2025
Black Moon The Whole Love0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 25, 2023
Ça Plane Pour Moi [Plastic Bertrand]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 17, 2026
Camera More Like The Moon EP0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 15, 2015
Childlike and Evergreen Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-20140.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 15, 2015
Children of the Revolution [T. Rex]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 21, 2026
Close My Eyes [Arthur Russell]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Oct 1, 2021
Cold Hard World [Daniel Johnston]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 12, 2025
Cousin Cousin0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 31, 2024
Darkness Is Cheap Cruel Country0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 1, 2022
Deeper Down Wilco (the album)0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jul 8, 2011
Desert Bell Sukierae0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jul 17, 2021
Dirty Old Town [Pogues]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Do Re Mi [Woody Guthrie]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 9, 2025
Empty Head Warmer0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 20, 2020
Ever Fallen In Love [The Buzzcocks]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 18, 1997
Fat Bottomed Girls [Queen]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 11, 2026
Fatal Wound March 16-20, 19920.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
Froggie Went A Courtin' 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 12, 1998
Funk #49 [James Gang]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 8, 2025
God Save The Queen [Sex Pistols]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 11, 2025
Goodnight Irene [Leadbelly]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Dec 21, 2004
Happiness Schmilco0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 25, 2023
Happy Birthday 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 8, 2006
Hazel Sukierae0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 16, 2017
Hey Chicken 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
Hey Hey What Can I Do [Led Zeppelin]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 14, 2014
High on a Rocky Ledge [Moondog]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 8, 2025
Houses [Elyse Weinberg]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Dec 4, 2023
I Got Nightmares [Q65]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 18, 2026
I Got You [Split Enz]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
I Shall Be Released [Bob Dylan]Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-20140.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 5, 2005
I Threw It All Away [Bob Dylan]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Oct 21, 1999
I Want to See the Bright Lights Tonight [Richard and Linda Thompson]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 20, 2026
I Wish I Was Your Mother [Ian Hunter (Mott the Hoople)]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 26, 1998
In The Street [Big Star]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 15, 2019
Jacob's Ladder 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 28, 2009
King of Carrot Flowers, Pt. 1 [Neutral Milk Hotel]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Kingsport Town [Bob Dylan]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2000
Kiss [Prince]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 6, 2025
Let's Find Each Other Tonight [José Feliciano]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2016
London Calling [The Clash]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 21, 2026
Lookin' For A Love [Neil Young]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2000
Love Is Everywhere (Beware) Ode to Joy0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 25, 2023
Magnet [NRBQ]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Oct 30, 2025
Me and Jane Doe [Charlotte Gainsbourg]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 14, 2026
Mendocino [Doug Sham]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Mexico [Sammy Tweedy]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 16, 2026
Mi Sheibarach [Debbie Friedman]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Sep 18, 2020
Midnight Special 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 28, 2009
Military Madness [Graham Nash]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Dec 29, 2017
My Darling Summerteeth0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 14, 1999
Ne Me Quitte Pas [Jacques Brel]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 14, 2026
Needles in a Camel's Eye [Brian Eno]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 20, 2026
No Depression No Depression0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 18, 2001
No Matter What [Badfinger]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Nope Schmilco0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Aug 6, 2016
One and a Half Stars Ode to Joy0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jun 25, 2023
One More Night 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 11, 1997
Out On The Weekend [Neil Young]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Peace In The Valley 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 11, 1997
Pink Moon [Nick Drake]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Political Science [Randy Newman]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 5, 2005
Quarters Schmilco0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Apr 22, 2017
Reincarnation [Roger Miller]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 25, 1997
Rock Salt And Nails [Utah Phillips]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2000
Sally Free And Easy [Cyril Tawney]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2000
Sandusky March 16-20, 19920.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 28, 1999
Save My Ass 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2000
Say You Love Me Hot Sun Cool Shroud0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Oct 23, 2024
Shrug and Destroy Schmilco0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Aug 6, 2016
Six Months In A Leaky Boat [Split Enz]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
So Long Loose Fur0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2000
Soldier Child Cousin0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Apr 12, 2024
Space Oddity [David Bowie]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2016
Spanish Bombs [The Clash]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 12, 2026
Standing O The Whole Love0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 30, 2012
Stardog's Lament 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Strangers [Kinks]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 31, 2012
Sunloathe The Whole Love0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 30, 2012
Take This Hammer [Leadbelly]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Dec 21, 2004
Taste the Ceiling Star Wars0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 13, 2016
Tell Me Something Good [Rufus]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 1, 2025
Tennessee Waltz [Redd Stewart]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Oct 29, 2025
That Year No Depression0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 18, 1997
The Joke Explained Star Wars0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 13, 2016
The Lonesome Wind That Blows 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2000
The Old Country Waltz [Neil Young]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Sep 18, 2020
This Time Tomorrow [The Kinks]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Feb 21, 2026
Twinkle Twinkle Little Star [Jane Taylor]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 11, 1997
Walking The Cow [Daniel Johnston]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Nov 12, 2025
War Pigs [Black Sabbath]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jul 24, 2025
Watch Me Fall Still Feel Gone0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 31, 2012
Wedding Cake Twilight Override0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2026
Wherever 0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Mar 31, 2012
Why Would You Wanna Live Being There0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20Jan 11, 1997
Will You Still Love Me Tomorrow [Carole King]Cover0.1%0.3%0 / 100 / 20May 29, 1995

How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.

Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.