Likely Tonight
A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.
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| Song | Album | Likely | % Shows | Last 10 | Last 20 | Last played |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twilight Override | Twilight Override | 3.3% | 17% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| You Are Not Alone | 2.9% | 5.8% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 | |
| Half-Asleep | Love Is the King | 2.7% | 4.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Monday | Being There | 2.7% | 4.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Love Is for Love | Twilight Override | 2.7% | 14% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Parking Lot | Twilight Override | 2.7% | 14% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Laminated Cat | Loose Fur | 2.5% | 3.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Muzzle Of Bees | A Ghost Is Born | 2.3% | 2.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Throwaway Lines | Twilight Override | 2.3% | 2.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| A Magazine Called Sunset | More Like The Moon EP | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| A Shot In The Arm | Summerteeth | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Acuff-Rose | Anodyne | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Casino Queen | A.M. | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Country Disappeared | Wilco (the album) | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| I Can't Keep From Talking | Weird Tales | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Just A Kid | The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Saddest Eyes | Twilight Override | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Sunlight Ends | Cousin | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Capitol City | The Whole Love | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 30, 2026 |
| I Heard You Looking [Yo La Tengo] | Cover | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Judy Just Left | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 | |
| Secret Door | Twilight Override | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 1 / 20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Sign of Life | Twilight Override | 1.9% | 9.7% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| The Universe | Cruel Country | 1.9% | 9.7% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | May 8, 2026 |
| U.S. Blues [Grateful Dead] | Cover | 1.9% | 9.7% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Western Clear Skies | Twilight Override | 1.9% | 9.7% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Country Song Upside-Down | Cruel Country | 1.6% | 7.8% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | May 8, 2026 |
| Quiet Amplifier | Ode to Joy | 1.6% | 7.8% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | May 1, 2026 |
| Amar Bharati | Twilight Override | 1.4% | 6.8% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Random Name Generator | Star Wars | 1.4% | 6.8% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Ain't It a Shame | Twilight Override | 1.0% | 4.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Evergreen | Warmer | 1.0% | 4.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| New Madrid | Anodyne | 1.0% | 4.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Wishful Thinking | A Ghost Is Born | 1.0% | 4.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | May 5, 2026 |
| A Lifetime to Find | Cruel Country | 0.8% | 3.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| A Robin or a Wren | Love Is the King | 0.8% | 3.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Guess Again | Love Is the King | 0.8% | 3.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Please Tell My Brother | Weird Tales | 0.8% | 3.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Better Song | Twilight Override | 0.6% | 2.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Dreamer In My Dreams | Being There | 0.6% | 2.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Meant to Be | Cousin | 0.6% | 2.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| One Sunday Morning (Song For Jane Smiley's Boyfriend) | The Whole Love | 0.6% | 2.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| What Light | Sky Blue Sky | 0.6% | 2.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Helpless [Neil Young] | Cover | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| I Am My Mother | Cruel Country | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| I Know What It's Like | Warm | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Over My Head (Everything Goes) | Twilight Override | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Passenger Side | A.M. | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Pecan Pie | Down By The Old Mainstream | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Radio King | Down By The Old Mainstream | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Save It for Me | Love Is the King | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Sky Blue Sky | Sky Blue Sky | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Too Real | Twilight Override | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| A Long Time Ago | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 | |
| After the Gold Rush [Neil Young] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Ain't No Sunshine [Bill Withers] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Alone | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 | |
| Amber [311] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Ambulance | Cruel Country | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Androgynous [The Replacements] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Are You Here for the Festival [Michael Hurley] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Born Alone | The Whole Love | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Ça Plane Pour Moi [Plastic Bertrand] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Camera | More Like The Moon EP | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Children of the Revolution [T. Rex] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Cold Hard World [Daniel Johnston] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Cold Slope | Star Wars | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Comment (If All Men Are Truly Brothers) [Charles Wright and the Watts 103rd St. Rhythm Band] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Cortez the Killer [Neil Young] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Dark Neon | Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Dawned On Me | The Whole Love | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Dear Employer (The Reason I Quit) | Down With Wilco | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Do Re Mi [Woody Guthrie] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Effigy [Creedence Clearwater Revival] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Everlasting Everything | Wilco (the album) | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Everyday People [Sly and the Family Stone] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Far, Far Away | Being There | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Farewell Transmission [Songs: Ohia (Jason Molina)] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Fat Bottomed Girls [Queen] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Ffunny Ffrends [Unknown Mortal Orchestra] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Funk #49 [James Gang] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Glad and Sorry [Faces] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| God Save The Queen [Sex Pistols] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| He's A Dick | Down By The Old Mainstream | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Hesitation | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 2, 2025 | |
| High on a Rocky Ledge [Moondog] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Hotel Arizona | Being There | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| How To Fight Loneliness | Summerteeth | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| I Couldn't Say It to Your Face [Arthur Russell] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| I Got Nightmares [Q65] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| I Love Rock 'n' Roll [The Arrows] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| I Want to See the Bright Lights Tonight [Richard and Linda Thompson] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Ill Fated | Down By The Old Mainstream | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| In Bloom [Nirvana] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Jump into the Fire [Harry Nilsson] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Kerosene [Big Black] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kicking Television | A Ghost Is Born | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| King of You | Star Wars | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Kiss [Prince] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Kiss an Angel Good Mornin' [Charley Pride] | Cover | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0 / 10 | 0 / 20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.
Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.