Likely Tonight

A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.

Showing All time ×All artists × 665 songs · 1,957 setlisted shows in scope
Timeframe
All timeLast 3 yearsLast 12 monthsSince latest album
Artist
All artists WilcoJeff TweedyTweedy
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Song Album Likely % Shows Last 10 Last 20 Last played
Common Sense Schmilco0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Sep 15, 2016
Cortez the Killer [Neil Young]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 18, 2026
Dad Says 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Sep 11, 1999
Dark California Stars 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Aug 4, 2013
Dirty Old Town [Pogues]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Do Re Mi [Woody Guthrie]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 9, 2025
Drown [Son Volt]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20May 23, 1997
Easter Bunny ditty 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 4, 2010
Effigy [Creedence Clearwater Revival]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 25, 2026
Everyday People [Sly and the Family Stone]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 25, 2026
Farewell Transmission [Songs: Ohia (Jason Molina)]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 7, 2026
Fat Bottomed Girls [Queen]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 11, 2026
Fatal Wound March 16-20, 19920.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
Ffunny Ffrends [Unknown Mortal Orchestra]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 1, 2026
Freedom Highway [The Staple Singers]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 18, 2022
Friend of the Devil [Grateful Dead]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jun 27, 2013
Froggie Went A Courtin' 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 12, 1998
Funk #49 [James Gang]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 8, 2025
Get Lucky [Daft Punk]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jun 21, 2013
Glad and Sorry [Faces]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
God Save The Queen [Sex Pistols]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 11, 2025
Goodnight Irene [Leadbelly]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Dec 21, 2004
Gut Feeling / Slap Your Mammy [Devo]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Dec 31, 2004
Hank, Karen, and Elvis 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 17, 2003
He's A Dick Down By The Old Mainstream0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Hello Cruel World 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 11, 1995
Helter Skelter [The Beatles]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Oct 13, 2021
Hey Chicken 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2006
Hey Hey What Can I Do [Led Zeppelin]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 14, 2014
High on a Rocky Ledge [Moondog]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 8, 2025
Hillbilly Drummer Girl 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 16, 2003
Honky Tonk Women [The Rolling Stones]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Aug 24, 2021
Houses [Elyse Weinberg]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Dec 4, 2023
I Am The Walrus [The Beatles]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Dec 16, 2019
I Couldn't Say It to Your Face [Arthur Russell]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 10, 2026
I Got Nightmares [Q65]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 18, 2026
I Love Rock 'n' Roll [The Arrows]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 21, 2026
I Threw It All Away [Bob Dylan]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Oct 21, 1999
I Want to See the Bright Lights Tonight [Richard and Linda Thompson]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 20, 2026
I Want You To Want Me [Cheap Trick]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 27, 1997
I'll Take You There [The Staple Singers]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 20, 2022
I'm Going Home 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 30, 1997
Ill Fated Down By The Old Mainstream0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
In Bloom [Nirvana]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 2, 2026
Jacob's Ladder 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 28, 2009
Judy Just Left 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20May 29, 2026
Jump into the Fire [Harry Nilsson]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 20, 2026
Jumping Jack Flash [The Rolling Stones]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 29, 1997
Kerosene [Big Black]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 9, 2026
King of Carrot Flowers, Pt. 1 [Neutral Milk Hotel]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Kingsport Town [Bob Dylan]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 4, 2000
Kiss [Prince]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 6, 2025
Kiss an Angel Good Mornin' [Charley Pride]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2026
Leave Me (Like You Found Me) Sky Blue Sky0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 19, 2008
Let's Find Each Other Tonight [José Feliciano]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20May 14, 2016
Little Hands [Alexander "Skip" Spence]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 24, 2026
Livin' After Midnight [Judas Priest]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Dec 31, 2004
London Calling [The Clash]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 21, 2026
Long Black Veil [Wilkin/Dill]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jul 21, 2013
Looking Forward To Seeing You Weird Tales0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Loser [Beck]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 20, 2026
Lotta Love [Neil Young]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 8, 2026
Loud, Loud, Loud [Aphrodite's Child]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 30, 2015
Louie, Louie [Richard Berry]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 31, 2026
Love and Not Love 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 9, 2026
Magnet [NRBQ]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Oct 30, 2025
Me and Jane Doe [Charlotte Gainsbourg]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 14, 2026
Mellow My Mind 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 17, 2003
Mendocino [Doug Sham]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Mexico [Sammy Tweedy]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 16, 2026
Mi Sheibarach [Debbie Friedman]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Sep 18, 2020
Midnight Special 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 28, 2009
Military Madness [Graham Nash]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Dec 29, 2017
Modern World 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Sep 15, 2001
Ne Me Quitte Pas [Jacques Brel]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 14, 2026
Needles in a Camel's Eye [Brian Eno]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Feb 20, 2026
New Years Countdown 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Dec 31, 1997
No Church Tonight 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 9, 2000
No Depression No Depression0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 18, 2001
No Matter What [Badfinger]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
No Romance 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 5, 1999
Once A Day [Bill Anderson]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20May 27, 2022
One More Night 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 11, 1997
Our Lips Are Sealed [The Go-Go's]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 21, 2026
Out On The Weekend [Neil Young]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Outtro 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Nov 13, 1996
Peace In The Valley 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 11, 1997
Person I Used To Be 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Sep 11, 1999
Pink Moon [Nick Drake]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 29, 2005
Portland Water [Michael Hurley]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 1, 2026
Psycho Killer [Talking Heads]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Aug 15, 1999
Psychotic Reaction [Count Five]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jun 21, 2013
Quarters Schmilco0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 22, 2017
Queen [Perfume Genius]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 10, 2026
Queen Bitch [David Bowie]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Mar 31, 2016
Rainbow Connection [Kermit The Frog]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Dec 30, 1998
Raise a Little Hell [Trooper]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Apr 4, 2026
Revolution Blues [Neil Young]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jan 17, 2026
Roadrunner [The Modern Lovers]Cover0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Jun 21, 2013
Rock n Roll Queen 0.0%0.1%0 / 100 / 20Oct 7, 1995

How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.

Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.