Likely Tonight

A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.

Showing All time ×Wilco 384 songs · 1,602 setlisted shows in scope

Timeframe

All time Last 3 years Last 12 months Since latest album

Artist

All artists Wilco Jeff Tweedy Tweedy

More filters

Song	Album	Likely	% Shows	Last 10	Last 20	Last played
Far, Far Away	Being There	1.9%	9.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 5, 2024
I Heard You Looking [Yo La Tengo]	Cover	1.8%	0.1%	0 / 10	1 / 20	Jun 20, 2026
We've Been Had	Anodyne	1.7%	8.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 17, 2017
I Am My Mother	Cruel Country	1.7%	8.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 16, 2025
Pickled Ginger	Star Wars	1.6%	7.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 17, 2017
That's Not The Issue	A.M.	1.5%	7.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 19, 2020
Someone Else's Song	Being There	1.4%	7.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 15, 2026
The Lonely 1	Being There	1.4%	7.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 6, 2023
Pick Up The Change	A.M.	1.4%	7.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 25, 2025
Someday Soon	Being There	1.3%	6.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 25, 2025
The Joke Explained	Star Wars	1.3%	6.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 5, 2023
Outta Mind (Outta Sight)	Being There	1.2%	6.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 25, 2025
Too Far Apart	A.M.	1.2%	6.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
Someone to Lose	Schmilco	1.2%	6.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 11, 2024
Wilco (The Song)	Wilco (the album)	1.2%	6.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 28, 2024
Not For The Season		1.2%	5.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 4, 2003
Nothing'severgonnastandinmyway(again)	Summerteeth	1.1%	5.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 18, 2026
One Sunday Morning (Song For Jane Smiley's Boyfriend)	The Whole Love	1.1%	5.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 29, 2025
Why Would You Wanna Live	Being There	1.1%	5.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 23, 2017
One and a Half Stars	Ode to Joy	1.1%	5.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 29, 2023
Laminated Cat	Loose Fur	1.1%	5.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 14, 2024
Cold Slope	Star Wars	1.0%	5.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
Cry All Day	Schmilco	1.0%	5.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 2, 2023
You Never Know	Wilco (the album)	1.0%	5.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 19, 2025
A Magazine Called Sunset	More Like The Moon EP	1.0%	5.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 15, 2026
Story to Tell	Cruel Country	1.0%	5.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 30, 2026
Summer Teeth	Summerteeth	1.0%	5.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 3, 2024
Less Than You Think	A Ghost Is Born	1.0%	4.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 22, 2025
King of You	Star Wars	1.0%	4.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
The Long Cut	Anodyne	1.0%	4.8%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 31, 2000
Sky Blue Sky	Sky Blue Sky	0.9%	4.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 15, 2026
I'll Fight	Wilco (the album)	0.9%	4.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 30, 2025
Locator	Schmilco	0.9%	4.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 15, 2019
Should've Been In Love	A.M.	0.9%	4.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 25, 2025
Bright Leaves	Ode to Joy	0.8%	4.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 2, 2023
More...	Star Wars	0.8%	4.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 10, 2016
Give Back The Key To My Heart [Doug Sahm]	Anodyne	0.8%	3.8%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 3, 2023
Before Us	Ode to Joy	0.7%	3.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 22, 2021
Camera	More Like The Moon EP	0.7%	3.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
On And On And On	Sky Blue Sky	0.7%	3.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 15, 2024
Kicking Television	A Ghost Is Born	0.7%	3.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
What Light	Sky Blue Sky	0.7%	3.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 27, 2026
Hold Me Anyway	Ode to Joy	0.7%	3.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 7, 2021
Deeper Down	Wilco (the album)	0.7%	3.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 28, 2024
White Wooden Cross	Ode to Joy	0.7%	3.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 6, 2021
Bob Dylan's 49th Beard	More Like The Moon EP	0.7%	3.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 14, 2024
Capitol City	The Whole Love	0.7%	3.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 26, 2015
Meant to Be	Cousin	0.6%	3.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 27, 2026
Hints	Cruel Country	0.6%	3.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 6, 2025
Standing O	The Whole Love	0.6%	3.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 9, 2014
Where Do I Begin	Star Wars	0.6%	3.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 5, 2016
A Lifetime to Find	Cruel Country	0.6%	3.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 18, 2024
Black Moon	The Whole Love	0.6%	2.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 22, 2014
Shake It Off	Sky Blue Sky	0.6%	2.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 9, 2014
We Aren't the World (Safety Girl)	Schmilco	0.6%	2.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 28, 2019
Gun	Still Feel Gone	0.6%	2.8%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 4, 1997
Many Worlds	Cruel Country	0.6%	2.8%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 15, 2026
When You Wake Up Feeling Old	Summerteeth	0.6%	2.8%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 21, 2020
Normal American Kids	Schmilco	0.5%	2.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 18, 2017
My Darling	Summerteeth	0.5%	2.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 4, 2008
Be Not So Fearful [Bill Fay]	Cover	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 24, 2022
We're Just Friends	Summerteeth	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 18, 2008
Cars Can't Escape	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 23, 2023
Magnetized	Star Wars	0.5%	2.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 1, 2016
Quiet Amplifier	Ode to Joy	0.5%	2.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 1, 2026
Taste the Ceiling	Star Wars	0.5%	2.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 1, 2016
Infinite Surprise	Cousin	0.5%	2.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 25, 2025
(Was I) In Your Dreams	Being There	0.5%	2.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 23, 2017
Cousin	Cousin	0.5%	2.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 22, 2024
Dreamer In My Dreams	Being There	0.5%	2.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 15, 2026
We Were Lucky	Ode to Joy	0.4%	2.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 19, 2020
Feed Of Man	Mermaid Avenue, Vol. 2	0.4%	2.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 28, 2024
In A Future Age	Summerteeth	0.4%	2.1%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 20, 2022
Pittsburgh	Cousin	0.4%	1.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 6, 2025
Tired of Taking It Out on You	Cruel Country	0.4%	1.9%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 20, 2025
Blood Of The Lamb	Mermaid Avenue, Vol. 2	0.4%	1.8%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 12, 2014
Wait Up	March 16-20, 1992	0.4%	1.8%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 6, 2002
Country Disappeared	Wilco (the album)	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 20, 2025
ELT	Summerteeth	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 28, 2024
Acuff-Rose	Anodyne	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 22, 2007
Panthers (Proving Death Again)	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 25, 2025
Let's Not Get Carried Away	Sky Blue Sky Tour EP	0.3%	1.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 17, 2026
Immigrant Song [Led Zeppelin]	Cover	0.3%	1.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 27, 2002
U.S. Blues [Grateful Dead]	Cover	0.3%	1.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 30, 2025
All Across the World	Cruel Country	0.3%	1.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 25, 2023
What's The World Got In Store	Being There	0.3%	1.5%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 23, 2017
Hearts Hard to Find	Cruel Country	0.3%	1.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 6, 2024
No Sense In Lovin'	Anodyne	0.3%	1.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 27, 1995
Walk Where He Walked	Down By The Old Mainstream	0.3%	1.4%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 27, 1995
James Alley Blues [Richard "Rabbit" Brown]	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 21, 2013
Pecan Pie	Down By The Old Mainstream	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 7, 1999
Pieholden Suite	Summerteeth	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 24, 2022
Political Science [Randy Newman]	Cover	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 19, 2006
Rising Red Lung	The Whole Love	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 19, 2012
The Thanks I Get	Sky Blue Sky Tour EP	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 21, 2020
Listen To Her Heart [Tom Petty]	Cover	0.2%	1.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 20, 1995
The Good Part	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.2%	1.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 28, 2024
Black Eye	March 16-20, 1992	0.2%	1.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 11, 1995
Don't You Honey Me	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.2%	1.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 17, 1995
Happy Birthday		0.2%	1.2%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Aug 3, 2013

How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.

Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.