Likely Tonight

A weighted-recency score for every song in the window: how likely you are to hear it at the next show, leaning hardest on the most recent shows. Method adapted from u/DoorGuote’s r/wilco analysis — details below.

Showing All time ×Jeff Tweedy × 452 songs · 302 setlisted shows in scope

Timeframe

All time Last 3 years Last 12 months Since latest album

Artist

All artists Wilco Jeff Tweedy Tweedy

More filters

Song	Album	Likely	% Shows	Last 10	Last 20	Last played
Henry & The H Bombs [Mott The Hoople]	Cover	0.7%	3.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 30, 2012
Nothing'severgonnastandinmyway(again)	Summerteeth	0.7%	3.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 13, 2016
Pot Kettle Black	Yankee Hotel Foxtrot	0.7%	3.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 18, 2025
The Auld Triangle [Brendan Behan]	Cover	0.7%	3.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 6, 2007
Warm (When the Sun Has Died)	Warm	0.7%	3.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 30, 2024
When You Wake Up Feeling Old	Summerteeth	0.7%	3.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 22, 2019
Hate It Here	Sky Blue Sky	0.6%	3.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 1, 2022
So Much Wine (Butterfly) [The Handsome Family]	Cover	0.6%	3.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 13, 2016
Ain't It a Shame	Twilight Override	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2026
Amar Bharati	Twilight Override	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 8, 2026
At Least That's What You Said	A Ghost Is Born	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 14, 2016
Company In My Back	A Ghost Is Born	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 30, 2024
Evicted	Cousin	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 4, 2026
Falling Apart (Right Now)	Cruel Country	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 30, 2024
Helpless [Neil Young]	Cover	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 10, 2025
I'll Fight	Wilco (the album)	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 14, 2024
James Alley Blues [Richard "Rabbit" Brown]	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 8, 2006
Natural Disaster	Love Is the King	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 29, 2024
New Moon	Sukierae	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 22, 2021
No More Poetry	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 13, 2016
Orphan	Warmer	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 29, 2024
Outtasite (Outta Mind)	Being There	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 31, 2024
The Red Brick	Warm	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 30, 2024
Whole Love	The Whole Love	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 28, 2024
Wilco (The Song)	Wilco (the album)	0.5%	2.6%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 13, 2013
All The Same To Me	Weird Tales	0.5%	2.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 14, 2009
Losing End [Neil Young]	Cover	0.5%	2.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jul 19, 2021
Meant to Be	Cousin	0.5%	2.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 28, 2024
New Wave Theater		0.5%	2.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 20, 2018
Solitaire	Wilco (the album)	0.5%	2.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 18, 2013
Summer Noon	Sukierae	0.5%	2.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 30, 2024
Tired of Taking It Out on You	Cruel Country	0.5%	2.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 30, 2024
Art of Almost	The Whole Love	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 28, 2023
At My Window Sad And Lonely	Mermaid Avenue	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2015
Blue Eyed Soul	A.M.	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 31, 2012
Fake Fur Coat	Sukierae	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 22, 2019
Jesus Wept		0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 31, 2024
Monkey Mess		0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 12, 2001
Oklahoma USA [The Kinks]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 22, 2017
Promising	Chelsea Walls	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 29, 2007
Say You Miss Me	Being There	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 8, 2006
Simple Twist Of Fate [Bob Dylan]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 14, 2016
The Community Song		0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 14, 2014
Tonight I'll Be Staying Here With You [Bob Dylan]	Cover	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2023
True Love Will Find You In the End [Daniel Johnston]	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 29, 2017
White Wooden Cross	Ode to Joy	0.4%	2.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 30, 2021
A Long Time Ago		0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 30, 2021
Dash 7	A.M.	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 25, 2006
Down In The Willow Garden		0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 31, 2012
Fake Plastic Trees [Radiohead]	Cover	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 27, 2009
High as Hello	Sukierae	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 25, 2022
I Wish My Baby Was Born	March 16-20, 1992	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 30, 2012
Infinite Surprise	Cousin	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 30, 2024
It Must Be Love [Labi Siffre]	Cover	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 29, 2022
Less Than You Think	A Ghost Is Born	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 15, 2024
Millionaire		0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 16, 2003
Radio Cure	Yankee Hotel Foxtrot	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 19, 2013
Ripple [Grateful Dead]	Cover	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 15, 2006
Someone to Lose	Schmilco	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 25, 2023
The Family Gardener	Down With Wilco	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 23, 2019
Wishful Thinking	A Ghost Is Born	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 22, 2017
You Were Wrong	Loose Fur	0.3%	1.7%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 24, 2007
Bad Day Lately	Love Is the King	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 19, 2022
Cruel Country	Cruel Country	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 27, 2023
Dreaming [Debbie Harry/Chris Stein (Blondie)]	Cover	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 29, 2005
Hearts Hard to Find	Cruel Country	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 11, 2024
Hints	Cruel Country	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 25, 2023
Hotel Arizona	Being There	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 8, 2006
How Hard It Is for a Desert to Die	Warm	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 30, 2024
I Might	The Whole Love	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2015
I'm Into Something Good [Carole King and Gerry Goffin]	Cover	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 22, 2019
If That's Alright	Still Feel Gone	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 14, 2014
More Like The Moon	More Like The Moon EP	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 18, 2025
Open Mind	The Whole Love	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 18, 2013
Secret Of The Sea	Mermaid Avenue, Vol. 2	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 14, 2016
Too Far Apart	A.M.	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 13, 2016
Where Do I Begin	Star Wars	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 22, 2017
Yesterday [Paul McCartney]	Cover	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 15, 1998
You Are My Face	Sky Blue Sky	0.3%	1.3%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 31, 2024
A Bowl and a Pudding	Cousin	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 29, 2024
Ain't No Doubt About It		0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 1, 2022
Another Man's Done Gone [Woody Guthrie]	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 16, 2017
Blood Of The Lamb	Mermaid Avenue, Vol. 2	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Sep 13, 2000
Can't Stand It	Summerteeth	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Feb 20, 2006
Hell Is Chrome	A Ghost Is Born	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 31, 2012
I Must Be High	A.M.	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 26, 2008
I Wanna Be Your Dog		0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Mar 26, 2009
I Wanna Be Your Mama Again [Doug Sahm]	Cover	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 4, 2021
I'm Only Sleeping [Lennon/McCartney]	Cover	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 29, 2005
If I Ever Was a Child	Schmilco	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 15, 2024
In Christ, There Is No East Or West		0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Oct 27, 2006
Little Lies [Fleetwood Mac]	Cover	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 6, 2023
Magnetized	Star Wars	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 1, 2024
Many Worlds	Cruel Country	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Apr 12, 2024
Message From Mid-Bar		0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jun 1, 2024
My Words		0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Nov 17, 2005
One True Vine	Sky Blue Sky Tour EP	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 5, 2023
Outta Mind (Outta Sight)	Being There	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Dec 28, 2017
Panthers (Proving Death Again)	Alpha Mike Foxtrot: Rare Tracks 1994-2014	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	May 15, 2015
Please Be Wrong	Cruel Country	0.2%	1.0%	0 / 10	0 / 20	Jan 6, 2023

How “Likely” is scored. For each song we take the fraction of shows it appeared in over three nested lookbacks — the last 10 shows, the last 20 shows, and the full window — and blend them, weighting the most recent shows heaviest: 45% last 10 + 35% last 20 + 20% full window. The three fractions are each 0–100%, so the score is itself a rough probability.

Methodology adapted, with thanks, from “Analyzed last 3 years of Wilco setlists” by u/DoorGuote on the r/wilco subreddit.